“Almost heaven, West Virginia,” sang John Denver. But if Gov. Joe Manchin loses the Senate race to businessman John Raese, West Virginia could be almost hell for the Democrats — “almost,” because they’ll likely be teetering on the edge with a 51-seat majority. Fortunately for Democrats, Republicans’ “hicky” ad and Manchin’s awesome target practice ad [...]
Voters across the state of Westsylvania go to the polls today to select their nominees for the U.S. Senate and to chose a successor to the late Rep. John Murtha. Where, you may ask, is Westsylvania? It was the proposed 14th colony in the western mountains of Virginia and Pennsylvania, whose borders would [...]
One of the best predictors of Democrats’ fortunes in the Fall is the ole Clinton vs. Obama electoral map. Incumbents in what can be called the Clintonian Belt are on notice. Last week, 18-year Rep. Alan Mollohan (D) was defeated in a primary in northern West Virginia, a state where Clinton won with 67%.
On Tuesday, [...]
“He kept us all fed, loading dirty black coal” preached Ralph Stanley.
Legendary clawhammerer Stanley grew up in Dickensen County, Virginia, about two hours south of Beckley, WV, where President Obama will deliver the eulogy for the deceased miners on Sunday.
As Obama travels to the region, he may want to keep Stanley’s words in mind. No [...]
[MAP] New cartograms showing a sea of blue.
[PA-22] Dems in a “downtrodden [town] overlooking the Allegheny River” struggle with voting for Obama. Elsewhere, Clinton stronghold Carbondale has warmed up to him.
[NC-15] Draw a line down the North Carolina map. Obama will win the East; McCain will win the West.
[VA-13] Prince William County will [...]
[MAP] Nielsen finds Obama aired 150% more ads than McCain in seven key swing states.
[FL-27] McCain makes a sweep down the crucial/vital/pivotal I-4 Corridor.
[PA-21, OH-20] Obama launches the OSU vs. PSU Challenge.
[GA-15] InsiderAdvantage has a tie in the Peach State. And Bob Barr predicts McCain will lose it.
[VA-13, CO-9] Chuck Todd moves Virginia and [...]
TEM MUST-READ: A detailed account of why North Carolina is a now toss-up.
[SOUTHWEST] McCain slips among Hispanic voters. Not a good sign for him in New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada.
[SOUTH] African-American early turnout in the South is 6-10% above black voters’ share of the population.
[MAP] McCain boosts spending in Bush states, cuts it in [...]
Governing.com’s Josh Goodman has a good look at how Barack Obama is running ahead of where John Kerry was four years ago today in 41 states, according to data from Pollster.com.
It’s not surprising considering that Bush is about as popular as the Dallas Cowboys at a Redskins game and considering the fact that Obama makes [...]
The Post had a great article over the weekend about what it called the nation’s “New Political Geography“: poorer, rural areas trending from the Dems to the GOP and more affluent metro areas trending from the red to blue.
It’s a well-documented phenomenon, but I think the Post has some unique and interesting features that are [...]