Writing Archive

McCain-Romney Map Mirrors Ayotte-Lamontagne Map

New Hampshire Republicans loved John McCain in 2000 when he was widely viewed as anti-Washington, and they liked him enough in 2008 when he was anything but a favorite.  But in the 2010 Senate primary, Republicans chose what was widely viewed as the candidate preferred by Beltway Republicans.
Interestingly, Kelly Ayotte’s winning electoral map mirrored McCain’s.
Ayotte, [...]

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Blue States Most in Debt

Forbes:
The five states in the worst financial condition–Illinois, New York, Connecticut, California and New Jersey–are all among the bluest of blue states. The five most fiscally fit states are more of a mix. Three–Utah, Nebraska and Texas–boast Republican majorities and two–New Hampshire and Virginia–skew Democratic.**
I point to three factors.  First, states like New York, Illinois [...]

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Romney Finds a Home in New Hampshire

My friend and former colleague Erin McPike reported last week that Mitt Romney is moving his official residence from Boston to his vacation home at Lake Winnipesaukee, New Hampshire. The first thing that came to mind, of course, is that he’s positioning himself for the state’s first-in-the-nation primary in 2012.  Assuming he is [...]

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Chuck Todd Says PA is “Gone” for McCain

If the networks are right and McCain has lost Pennsylvania — a state that he blanketed in the past weeks — and New Hampshire — a state he calls his “second home” — then is his spine broken?  How does he win without those two states?
In the words of Tim Russert, “Florida, Florida, Florida.”

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NBC News Calls Pennsylvania for Obama

Already?! Before a single vote has been counted?!
They also call all of New England — including New Hampshire — New Jersey, Maryland, Delaware and Illinoins for Obama; and call South Carolina, Tennessee, Kentucky and Oklahoma for McCain.

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Morning Reading List – 10 Days to Go

[MAP] Nielsen finds Obama aired 150% more ads than McCain in seven key swing states.
[FL-27] McCain makes a sweep down the crucial/vital/pivotal I-4 Corridor.
[PA-21, OH-20] Obama launches the OSU vs. PSU Challenge.
[GA-15] InsiderAdvantage has a tie in the Peach State.  And Bob Barr predicts McCain will lose it.
[VA-13, CO-9] Chuck Todd moves Virginia and [...]

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Don’t Take New Hamsphire for Granite

Mike Murphy at Swampland lays out a [very likely] nightmare scenario for McCain: “The state by state results look a lot like 2004, but Obama picks up NM, CO and IA leaving the electoral college count at a razor close 269 Obama to 265 McCain. New Hampshire’s four electoral votes hold the final [...]

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Chuck Todd’s Latest Electoral Map: Obama 217, McCain 189

Chuck moves Oregon and New Jersey from “lean Obama” to “likely Obama” and moves Iowa from “toss-up” to “leans Obama.”
I’d say that’s about right. The Oregon and Iowa adjustments speak to Obama’s strength in the Upper Mississippi River Valley — or “the ‘region’ of Illinois,” as Chuck puts it — and in the Pacific [...]

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Obama’s Anti-Kerry Strategy = Genius

In an interview with Politico’s Ben Smith published this morning, Obama field director Steve Hildebrand vowed that their team would be spending a lot of time and money in Bush country this Fall. He named 14 red states, some of which were close in 2004 and some of which Kerry didn’t even consider, and [...]

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Washington Post’s “Lowest Common Denominator” Map

WaPo’s Dan Balz has an A1 story today explaining the 2008 electoral map to what one might call casual observers of the race. So the article covers most of the CW — Obama will target new battlegrounds like Virginia and Colorado, McCain has his sights on Michigan, the Midwest is pivotal, and so on… [...]

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