The RNC’s short list of possible sites for the 2012 convention is down to Tampa, Phoenix and Salt Lake City (UPDATE: Hotline OnCall’s Reid Wilson’s is reporting that Houston is also in the running). The committee will reportedly make a decision in late summer of 2010. Convention committees often look at number of factors in [...]
Writing Archive
Astonishing Stat of the Day
H/T Barry Ritholtz:
Just 6 states account for 62% of US total foreclosures: California, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Illinois and Michigan are the leading states in terms of receiving foreclosure filings. As the chart above shows, California, Florida, Arizona, and Nevada have the greatest foreclosure activity.
For what it’s worth, five out of six, with the exception of [...]
What do Elkhart, Ft. Myers and Springfield Have in Common?
Two things:
1. Obama visited all three communities this week to campaign for the stimulus package.
2. They all have unfortunate superlatives relating to the recession. Elkhart, Ind. has one of the worst unemployment rates in the country. Ft. Myers, Fla. has the highest rate of home foreclosures nationwide. And Springfield, Va., if you ask me, has [...]
32,000 Vote Shift in Duval County, FL
Duval County (Jacksonville) is a place of some strange happenings — it has the only Northern-flowing major river in America for instance — but check out its bizarro voting shifts. In 2004, Bush won 58-42% there; he won 220K votes to John Kerry’s 158K.
But in 2008, the county split about 50-50%. McCain won 188K votes [...]
I-4 Results are Pointing to Obama Florida Victory
I think Obama might win Floria.
On the east side of the I-4 Corridor, challenger Suzanne Kosmas (D) is going to beat Rep. Tom Feeny (R) by about 20 points in the blockbuster House race in FL-24 on the Space Coast. On the west side, Obama is up 53-46% in the bellwether Pinellas County. Gore won Pinellas [...]
Morning Reading – 8 Days to Go
[MAP] Nate Silver maps out a win for McCain that doesn’t go through Pennsylvania.
[MAP] Obama will spend his final week in six states where Bush won by an average of 9.2%.
[MAP] The Caucus moves Colorado from tossup to lean Obama; moves Indiana and Missouri from lean McCain to tossup. And The Fix predicts an Obama [...]
Morning Reading List – 10 Days to Go
[MAP] Nielsen finds Obama aired 150% more ads than McCain in seven key swing states.
[FL-27] McCain makes a sweep down the crucial/vital/pivotal I-4 Corridor.
[PA-21, OH-20] Obama launches the OSU vs. PSU Challenge.
[GA-15] InsiderAdvantage has a tie in the Peach State. And Bob Barr predicts McCain will lose it.
[VA-13, CO-9] Chuck Todd moves Virginia and [...]
Morning Reading List – 12 Days To Go
The Big Ten Battleground Poll has Obama sweeping from Happy Valley to the Metrodome.
The Q-Poll has Obama up in the Big 3 and leading by double-digits in Buckeyes and Nittany Lions country.
Robert David Sullivan releases his 10 regions of American Politics in 2008.
Charlie Mathesian maps out McCain’s victory in the Keystone State.
An Obama internal shows [...]
Morning Reading – 13 Days
“North Carolina’s New Blues” [Washington Post from Charlotte]
“McCain Fights to Keep Crucial Blue State in Play” [New York Times from Moon Township, PA]
“McCain, Obama go rural in final fight for Virginia” [Newport News Daily Press from Warsaw, VA]
“Dem: McCain shifts ads to Miami, Indiana” [Ben Smith at the Politico]
“The McCain Pennsylvania Theory” [Chris Bowers at [...]
Will the World Series Hamper McCain’s Ad Strategy?
I’m a Cubs fan and so it’s a shot in the gut to see the Rays in the World Series, and I’m also a Caps and Skins fan and so I relish seeing Philly’s predictable and epic collapses. But aside from my personal gripes with these two disgraceful organizations, it should be an exciting [...]
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