Writing Archive

Lives of the Party

Ronald Reagan famously explained in 1962 that “I didn’t leave the Democratic Party. The party left me.”  Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) and Rep. Parker Griffith (R-AL) made similar statements when they hopped the aisle, but as primaries proved this month, their moves were less successful.
Sean Trende noted back in December 2009 that party switchers have [...]

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Map of the Day: What Would Willie Talos Do?

The seed money for Bubba Gump Shrimp Company came from $25,000 in profits from ping-pong paddle sales.  But many other small business that rely on the Gulf’s  natural resources don’t have this kind cash flow and are going to take a huge hit from the BP oil spill.
In a gloomy report called “Oil Slickonomics,” David [...]

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Republicans Winning the Land of Liberals and Lobster Would be Like…

… Democrats winning a special election in Alabama.
Massachusetts has 6.6 million people and gave Barack Obama 62% of the vote in 2008.  Alabama has 4.7 million people and gave John McCain 61%.
Mass is  liberals, lobster, and Kennedys. Alabama is conservatives, cotton, and Talladega.   Culturally and politically, they are opposites.
So if Scott Brown (R) wins today [...]

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Political Geography Week in Review: Happy Holidays

I hope you all had an enjoyable holiday vacation.  If you were like me and took a few days off from news, then you may have some digging out to do.  So I pulled together a review of some of the biggest stories in political geography from the last few weeks.  Here it goes:
We learned [...]

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The Week in Political Geography: Flanel Shirt Country

My fellow political cartographers – Sorry for the sparse posting recently.  It’s been busy at New Media Strategies with an end of the year push, and most of my political geography time and resources have been devoted to @The_Almanac and major National Journal story I’m writing with Cook Report’s Dave Wasserman about southwest Virginia.
I promise [...]

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Schaller Leans Too Much on Numbers to Suggest Dems Can’t Win the South

Tom Schaller has a solid column in the New York Times today arguing exactly the opposite of what the paper has suggested repeatedly — that Obama can win deep red states in the old Confederacy by inspiring and mobilizing unprecedented African-American turnout.
In his piece “The South Will Fall Again,” he dispels two popular myths about [...]

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Could Obama Really Win a State in the South?

If Barack Obama wins any of the states in the former Confederacy, it’ll probably be Virginia or North Carolina. But a few analysts have suggested that he could boost African-African turnout across the rest of the south — the Deep South, mind you — to make some really red states competitive. Chuck Todd [...]

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Gerry Seib on the Electoral Map

Via Capital Journal.
On McCain:
“New Jersey is another big target; it is home to lots of moderate Republicans and conservative Democrats who could gravitate to Sen. McCain.
“The giant question is California. Although most Republicans are skeptical, Sen. McCain’s strategists are convinced he has the potential to put the nation’s most populous state into play. They note [...]

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Obama’s Alabama Victory

Check out the correlation between the counties he won and the so-called Black Belt.
Alabama Democratic Electoral Map (New York Times)

“Black Belt” — The more purple it is the more African-American.

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Huck Looks for the SEC Sweep

From Mike Hucakbee during his press conference:
“It’s tough for this ole Razorback to say things like ‘Roll, Tide, Roll,’ but I’m doing it tonight. And it’s tough for this ole Razorback to look over there at the state just to the East of us and say that ‘We’re, too, Volunteers.’ I think before the [...]

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