TEM MUST-READ: A detailed account of why North Carolina is a now toss-up.
[SOUTHWEST] McCain slips among Hispanic voters. Not a good sign for him in New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada.
[SOUTH] African-American early turnout in the South is 6-10% above black voters’ share of the population.
[MAP] McCain boosts spending in Bush states, cuts it in [...]
Writing Archive
Morning Reading List – 11 Days to Go
Weekly Compass: America’s Birthday Edition
Each of these items really deserves its own post, but unfortunately its been a busy week trying to crunch everything in before the three-day weekend. Enjoy and have a great Fourth.
GEOGRAPHY & DEMOGRAPHICS: Friends of The Electoral Map Joel Kotkin and Mark Schill have launched their superb new site, NewGeography.com, of which TEM is a [...]
Navigating the “Southwest Passage”
In a fascinating article in The American Prospect today, Tom Schaller dissects whether or not John McCain will thwart the Democrats’ hopes to capture the southwest in 2008. He makes the usual key points that McCain has good name recognition in the West and has a good rep with Hispanics.
But Schaller also adds some [...]
Catholics Could Redraw the Electoral Map in 2008
The 2008 election could be won or lost on the Catholic vote. There are nearly 70 million Catholics in the United States, according to Mark Penn’s estimates in “Microtrends,” and most of them reside in crucial swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, New Hampshire and the Southwest.
More importantly, they have a track record of [...]
Democrats and a Southwestern Strategy
Simon Rosenberg and Pete Leyden believe that Democrts could be poised for a generation takeover, much in the same way that FDR ushered in a new era in 1932 and Ronald Reagan redrew the map in 1980. In the latest issue of Mother Jones, the two Democratic strategist lay out their blueprint for that new [...]
Comments