Writing Archive

83% of Congressional Districts Trended Republican in 2010

Two years after Barack Obama and Democrats reached their electoral high point, the political pendulum swung quickly and definitively back to Republicans in 2010. It was a political “whiplash” of sorts — a swift refudiation of the way the country was moving.
Republicans reclaimed congressional districts from the New Hampshire coast to the swamps of [...]

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Google Maps and the Best Election Resource of 2010

“I’ve used the Google to bring up maps,” George W. Bush shared in 2006. “I kinda like to look at the ranch.”  Four years later, Google Maps is still the best resource for ranch-gazing from Washington, but now the site has a fantastic new feature that will be far more valuable to those in politics [...]

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Most Vulnerable Seats are in Rural Areas

Not all of the 31 Democrats who signed the letter to Pelosi today are on the chopping block, but a large majority of them are from rural, red districts.  In fact, the rural advocacy blog Daily Yonder found that two-thirds of the nation’s closest races in 2010 are in rural areas.
Intuitively, this makes sense.  Rural [...]

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Tea Party Caucus Officially More Southern and Western

Michelle Bachmann might hail from the Land of the North Star, but most of the members of the Tea Party Caucus that she formed last week represent the southern and western wing of the Republican House delegation.
The geographic center of gravity for the Tea Party Caucus — or the average geographical location of the hometowns [...]

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House Republicans Look to Areas Where Kerry Outperformed Obama

Robert Gibbs caused quite a stir on Sunday when he warned that Republicans could take back the House — a comment very likely meant as warning shot to a Democratic base that is not nearly as fired up and ready to go as their Republican counterparts.
The Democratic base has looked shaky in areas [...]

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Murtha’s District Likely to Go Republican

Question: What was the only district to vote for John Kerry in 2004 and John McCain in 2008?
Answer: Pennsylvania’s 12th District, which was represented by the late John Murtha.
This district will be filled by a special election that will likely be March 18.  In a race between a generic Democratic and a generic Republican, the [...]

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Population Shifts Troubling for Dems Short-Term

Swing State Project crunched the numbers from the recently-released 2008 American Community Survey estimates and listed the 25 fastest growing districts from 2000-2008 and the 25 districts that have lost the most residents.
An interesting trend emerged: Of the 25 fastest growing districts, 21 are represented by Republicans.  The four districts that aren’t in GOP hands [...]

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House Committees to Target Split District

If Republicans hope to cut into Democrats’ margins in the House in 2010, a good place to start will be the 49 districts that voted for both a Democratic House candidate and John McCain. As you might expect, many of these districts are in the South, Appalachia, rural Midwest and Mountain West. Many are represented [...]

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Pundits Whistlin’ Dixie

The Southern Political Report released its report of “Dixie’s Competitive Congressional Districts” on Monday, and according to SPR’s Hastings Wyman, “This year some 21 of the South’s 162 congressional seats are more or less ‘in play,’ 12 of them currently held by Republicans, 9 by Democrats. Due to such factors as a strong tide against [...]

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Digging a 50 State Strategy

In the top ten on Digg’s “World & Business” section today is an item titled “Visual Validations of the 50 State Electoral Strategy” that links to a University of Michigan page with some fascinating cartograms. The digger and the author of the Michigan site make the point that each state is hardly of a [...]

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