James S. Robbins at The Corner takes a counter-intuitive look at where Obama is running vis-a-vis John Kerry four years ago today:
“Today’s map shows Obama with a projected 275 votes to McCain’s 250, with 13 up for grabs. Four years ago — Kerry 317, Bush 202, and 19 tied. Interesting.”
Indeed.
Obama-McCain, August 18, 2008 (Electoral-Vote.com)
Kerry-Bush, August [...]
Chuck Todd and the MSNBC gang released their latest electoral map today. Almost every prediction remained constant from last time, but Alaska and South Dakota have been moved from Base McCain to Lean McCain.
Are these changes legit? Is the “First Read” team getting duped by the Obama camp or are voters in these [...]
Atlantic’s Marc Ambinder posted his prediction for the general election map last Friday, and I drew up this map of it. McCain’s base is deep red; tilt McCain is pink; toss-up is yellow; tilt Obama is light blue; and Obama’s base is deep blue.
I would make Missouri and Virginia tilt McCain and make Nevada a [...]
The Daily Compass is back!
ALASKA: Nate Silver lays out the argument for an Obama trip to Alaska [FiveThirtyEight.com]
GEORGIA: InsiderAdvantage has Obama tied with McCain [Southern Political Report]
IOWA: McCain and Bush tour the Hawkeye State 60 miles apart [New York Times]
IOWA: SurveyUSA says Obama/Webb is the strongest Democratic ticket; McCain/Bloomberg is the best GOP one [Race [...]
I’m a former National Journal Group writer, so I never give those turkeys at CQ too much credit, but their analysis of battleground states is worth a look:
“In 2004, Kerry won Minnesota, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and New Hampshire for a total of 69 electoral votes. Bush won Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, Ohio and New Mexico [...]
Ben Smith got his hands on Karl Rove & Co.’s latest series of electoral map predictions. It looks like the maps have Colorado and New Mexico turning blue, Nebraska shifting back into the GOP column and Wisconsin going from red to a toss-up. Other than that, not much has changed.
These maps are really just a [...]
Bob Novak released his prediction for the electoral map today, and it has John McCain squeaking by with 270 electoral votes to Barack Obama’s 268. He actually breaks down all 50 states — Here are some interesting tidbits about swing states:
Colorado: Novak puts it in the Democratic column and calls it “one of Obama’s best [...]
Comments