Writing Archive

Electoral Map of the Weekend

It’s not actually an electoral map, but it is a map that could have implications for the election.
It looks like Hurricane Gustav will hit the Crescent City this weekend, on the third day of Hurricane Katrina, and hours before President Bush gives his speech at the GOP convention in St. Paul.

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Live From Denver

If you’re in Denver, send me your blog posts.  I’m working with C-SPAN from the NMS offices in Arlington on their sharp new web site, the Convention Hub.  It’s C-SPAN 2.0.  It features up-to-minute tracking of credentialed and national blog posts and real-time Twitter updates.  
Check out the Convention Hub here, and follow me on Twitter [...]

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Geographically Speaking, Biden is a Smart Choice

Joe Biden, the blue collar, Catholic, foreign policy expert from Delaware is going to help Barack Obama in places like Pennsylvania’s 12th District. It’s hardcore United Mine Worker and United Steelworker country, the “Cradle of the American Steel Industry,” according to the Almanac of American Politics. It was settled by the irascible Scots-Irish that Jim [...]

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Obama Running Worse Than Kerry Four Years Ago?

James S. Robbins at The Corner takes a counter-intuitive look at where Obama is running vis-a-vis John Kerry four years ago today:
“Today’s map shows Obama with a projected 275 votes to McCain’s 250, with 13 up for grabs. Four years ago — Kerry 317, Bush 202, and 19 tied. Interesting.”
Indeed.
Obama-McCain, August 18, 2008 (Electoral-Vote.com)

Kerry-Bush, August [...]

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The Candidates and the Four American Folkways

Michael Barone had a fascinating column on August 11, in which he looked at how the candidates are running in the four historic regions of migration laid out in David Hackett Fischer’s masterpiece book “Albion’s Seed: Four British Folkways in America.”  What he found is fascinating:
McCain is running stronger than Bush did in two broad [...]

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The Electoral Map Daily Compass 8.14

Three must-reads today:
Karl Rove identifies the four key battleground states in the Wall Street Journal. The Journal is behind a subscription wall, so I’ll give you some hints: two of the states are on the Hayes-Schembechler axis, one state is home to both Red Rocks and the Air Force Academy and one state invaded [...]

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Obama Running Ahead of Kerry in 41 States

Governing.com’s Josh Goodman has a good look at how Barack Obama is running ahead of where John Kerry was four years ago today in 41 states, according to data from Pollster.com.
It’s not surprising considering that Bush is about as popular as the Dallas Cowboys at a Redskins game and considering the fact that Obama makes [...]

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McCain Has Some Strong Advantages in Virginia

The pundits have declared Virginia a toss-up state. But John McCain has some unique advantages in the Old Dominion that many analysts are overlooking.
I was on Washington’s News Channel 8 a few weeks ago to discuss those advantages. Here’s the footage. Would be interested to hear about what you think I got [...]

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Chuck Todd’s Latest Electoral Map: Obama 217, McCain 189

Chuck moves Oregon and New Jersey from “lean Obama” to “likely Obama” and moves Iowa from “toss-up” to “leans Obama.”
I’d say that’s about right. The Oregon and Iowa adjustments speak to Obama’s strength in the Upper Mississippi River Valley — or “the ‘region’ of Illinois,” as Chuck puts it — and in the Pacific [...]

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Newsweek Fails on “Southern Discomfort” Story

Newsweek’s latest cover story “Southern Discomfort: A journey through a troubled region” is an utter failure at original reporting and fresh insight.
The goal of the article was to convey the South’s “discomfort” with Barack Obama, which according to author Christopher Dickey, whose father penned “Deliverance,” has nothing to do with the senator’s liberalism, but is [...]

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