IOWA: Des Moines Register’’s Beaumont reports that the Obama camp has 15 offices open in the Hawkeye State and plans to have 20 by the Fall, “while McCain is still plotting where to locate about half as many.”
McCain has never built an organization here. Is there any way he can win Iowa?
MICHIGAN: You thought 20 [...]
Writing Archive
Battleground Dispatches
Golden Gopher
Barack Obama will deliver his victory speech tonight in Minneapolis’ XCel Energy Center, the same arena where John McCain will accept the GOP nomination this summer.
Is it a coincidence?
I doubt it. The Gopher State was once reliably blue and as recently as 1988 ranked 6th in Democratic performance. But in 2004, John Kerry [...]
A Response to Soren Dayton’s “Map for Victory”
Soren Dayton posted a fascinating analysis at Red State last week detailing the ward-by-ward electoral map of Philadelphia and concluding that Barack Obama ’s poor performance in ethic Catholic neighborhoods might signal a “realignment that puts the Northeast and the Rust Belt back in play” (If you haven’t seen it yet, it’s a must-read and [...]
Cillizza Posts His Latest Electoral Map Line
Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza is releasing a new presidential electoral map line each Friday. Here is his latest list on Cillizza’s The Fix b.og, along with The Electoral Map’s own analysis. What do you think?
10. Florida (Bush, 52 percent)
The Fix: “Polling suggests that if Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) is the nominee, [...]
Will John McCain Paint the Map Red?
John Fund sure thinks so. In a Wall Street Journal column from Monday (that I put off until day because of the Potomac Primary), Fund explains how McCain gets to 270:
New Hampshire: “The Granite State went only narrowly to Mr. Kerry, a senator from a neighboring state, and Mr. McCain has unique advantages there. New [...]
Super Tuesday Rundown: Northeastern and Midwestern States
Cross-posted at the Huffington Post.
And check out my rundown of Southern states here.
For the first time in modern American political history, there will be a nationwide primary on Tuesday, February 5. Many of 23 states that moved their primaries to earlier dates did so with the hopes of getting the kind of attention [...]
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