Governing.com’s Josh Goodman has a good look at how Barack Obama is running ahead of where John Kerry was four years ago today in 41 states, according to data from Pollster.com.
It’s not surprising considering that Bush is about as popular as the Dallas Cowboys at a Redskins game and considering the fact that Obama makes [...]
Writing Archive
Obama Running Ahead of Kerry in 41 States
Chuck Todd’s Latest Electoral Map: Obama 217, McCain 189
Chuck moves Oregon and New Jersey from “lean Obama” to “likely Obama” and moves Iowa from “toss-up” to “leans Obama.”
I’d say that’s about right. The Oregon and Iowa adjustments speak to Obama’s strength in the Upper Mississippi River Valley — or “the ‘region’ of Illinois,” as Chuck puts it — and in the Pacific [...]
Obama Running Ads in Red States Where the GOP is Slipping
The Obama camp began airing ads today in seventeen battleground states, some of which are typical swing states and some of which are designed “to sort of drive McCain and Republicans crazy,” as Chuck Todd put it on “Meet.” The strategy being that Obama has no chance of winning Georgia, but it’ll keep the McCain [...]
Obama’s Anti-Kerry Strategy = Genius
In an interview with Politico’s Ben Smith published this morning, Obama field director Steve Hildebrand vowed that their team would be spending a lot of time and money in Bush country this Fall. He named 14 red states, some of which were close in 2004 and some of which Kerry didn’t even consider, and [...]
Indiana Electoral Map
The results out of South Bend tell it all: Barack Obama’s success in urban counties and with young voters cut into Hillary Clinton’s success in blue collar, working-class areas.
St. Joseph’s County, which is where South Bend and North Dame are located, was such an interesting county to watch because it has strong traditions of both [...]
Shades of Hoosier Red
Indiana has always been known to be Hoosier red. But Indiana politics guru Brian Howey explains that “There appears to be two kinds of Republicans” in 2008:
“The ‘Obamacans’ as the Illinois senator likes to call them – earnest Republicans deeply disappointed in their own party’s performance on the budget, economy, social issues and the Iraq [...]
Hillary’s Last Dance?
A day after we declared that all eyes were it on North Carolina, it looks like everyone is turning their gaze to Indiana, which hosts its Democratic primary on the same day as the Tarheel State.
The Hotline suggests, “Forget Pennsylvania. Welcome to Indiana, the new North Carolina.” Sandwiched between Illinois (Obama) and Ohio (Clinton), [...]
The Electoral Map Daily Compass: Who Would Bob Casey Vote For?
In today’s must-read, Matt Bai tackles the perplexing question of why “Obama wins in major urban areas but can’t seem to win in urbanized states, while Clinton wins in rural communities but consistently loses in rural states.”
In other electoral map news:
Who Can Unlock the Keystone?
Pennsylvania politics guru Terry Madonna gives his take. [Real Clear Politics]
Catholics [...]
Indiana is a Red State, Right?
Indiana has been as red as the Hoosiers’ jerseys for 40 years, but a new Indianapolis Star poll suggests the state might be “thinking blue.”
Disillusioned with President Bush’s handling of the war, the economy and immigration, nearly half of likely voters in Indiana appear poised to buck 40 years of tradition and vote for a [...]
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