When a state like South Dakota outlaws abortion or a state like Vermont legalizes gay marriage, it’s because most voters in that state agree on that position. But when California makes a decision on a major cultural issue, it’s a proxy for the nation.
Twelve percent of Americans live in California, and the state has [...]
Writing Archive
Parsing the Prop 8 Map
California Electoral Map: Then and Now
Can you guess which election this map is from?
Here’s a hint. In the Almanac of American Politics, Michael Barone writes, “Once upon a time, people used to analyze California politics by distinguishing between Northern California and Southern California. Northern California—the Central Valley and the North Coast as well as the San Francisco Bay Area—tended to [...]
On Scranton and San Francisco
Sarah Palin jabbed last night that Obama “talks one way in Scranton and another way in San Francisco.”
I love this line — which two cities carry more demographic symbolism than these?
McCain Campaigns in Unfamiliar Areas
As a Navy man, maybe it’s his nature to chart unfamiliar waters. “McCain is planning to speak in inner cities, heavily African-American sections of the South, and poor sections of Appalachia,” reports Slate’s John Dickerson, adding that these are all heavily Democratic areas.
Dickerson is skeptical that McCain can win these voters, but he leaves the [...]
Politics Online Conference: D.I.Y. Maps
The Institute for Politics, Democracy and the Internet is hosting its annual Politics Online Conference on Tuesday and Wednesday, and I’m lucky enough to be speaking on the Political Cartography 2.0 panel on Tuesday at 4:15 p.m. I’m going to be posting some of the elements on my slideshow in the next couple of days [...]
Electoral Map Daily Compass: Beers and Brats Edition
Rocky Mountain Way
Barry Goldwater’s state is trending blue. [Reid Wilson]
McCain has a strong hand in the Rocky Mountain West. [Washington Post]
Here in Youngstown
Who won the “snowmobilers, bowlers, deer hunters and Packer fans?” [Salon's Edward McClellan]
White blue-collar men are the swing vote in the Dem primary. [Wall Street Journal]
Applebee’s America
Exurban blight in California. [Los Angeles Times]
Housing [...]
Obama Won the Facebook Primary, Lost Silicon Valley
CNET’s Declan McCullagh reports this interesting byte of information:
In Santa Clara County, home to Google, Apple, Yahoo, Intel, HP, and Sun Microsystems, Clinton won a commanding 54.8 percent share of the vote.
Obama, by comparison, won only 39.3 percent. That’s a remarkable margin of 16 percentage points. It’s far more than the 9.5-point margin that Clinton [...]
Super Tuesday Maps
It’s been a busy week, but with the dust settled from Super Tuesday, we now have a clear picture of who won.
On the Democratic side, Barack Obama took 14 states to Hillary Clinton’s eight, although Hillary prevailed in more populous states like California and New York. The result was a near-tie: Hillary won 50.2 [...]
Electoral Map Daily Compass: Left Coast Edition
Some interesting developments in the Golden State.
Romney looses all of south Missouri… except for Rush’s home county. [Politico]
California GOP’s Electoral College measure falls short. [Sacramento Bee]
Asian-Americans love Hillary. Who knew? [Salon]
Have Huck and Hill made amends in Arkansas? [Arkansas News]
McCain took 51 of 53 congressional districts in California [Real Clear Politics, Politico, California Secretary of [...]
The Times Looks at Three Key States
The Times’ examines New Jersey, Missouri and California.
On the Dem side, I expect Hillary Clinton to win New Jersey based on the backs of the Carmello Soprano vote; Hillary to win Missouri by a hair; and Hillary to take about 51 to 54 percent in California, but for the delegates to be split.
On the GOP [...]
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