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Obama Pulling out of North Dakota

The AP is reporting that “Barack Obama, who has deployed more than 50 staffers in North Dakota in an attempt to become the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry the state since 1964, is pulling out.”

I can’t say I’m surprised.

But I can’t say I agree — If I was David Plouffe I’d pony up the bucks to keep running ads there. Maybe you don’t need 50 staffers — Maybe half of that plus another 75 volunteers would suffice — but a month of ads in Fargo probably costs about the same as a day of ads in Miami.

My reasons why they should contest the Peace Garden State (did anyone know that was its nickname?) are documented here. But the crux of the matter is that a swing of about 40,000 votes would shift the state to the blue column and even a close call there would steal some of the McCain camp’s attention.

5 Responses to “Obama Pulling out of North Dakota”

  1. Jonathan Crowe

    24 September 2008 at 11:37 AM

    Peace Garden State — and NH has four electoral college votes to ND’s three.

  2. TheTallestTree

    24 September 2008 at 5:09 PM

    I strongly disagree, I think it’s the correct thing for Obama’s campaign to do.

    There’s only 640,000 people in North Dakota total. North Dakota, has no voter registration, even if you figure a 60-65% turn-out for the TOTAL population (obviously generating a higher number since not everyone can vote,) you’ve got 385,000-410,000 votes max.

    So to swing 40,000 votes, in a very sparsely populated, geographically large, and mostly republican state seems quite a stretch, especially considering the lackluster results from Obama’s advertising there.

    They should send those folks next store to the east to Minnesota where the race is much tighter and the stakes higher 10 EV vs 3 EV. Keeping them in North Dakota would be a waste.

  3. Patrick Ottenhoff

    24 September 2008 at 5:54 PM

    Yea, but A. it’s so cheap and B. you can couple efforts with Minnesota.

  4. Jay

    25 September 2008 at 1:38 PM

    Patrick I doubt that N Dakota is going to change its pattern of voting Republican for President since 1964 to vote for one of th most liberal tickets ever nominated by the Democrats.

    I think Sarah Palin firmed up whatever doubts there were among some N Dakota voters to vote for McCain and I am talking about the conservatives.

    No matter how much money you spend, it doesnt work that way. It would be like the GOP wasting money on converting Vermont by spending millions on advertising.


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