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Perry Dominates from the Red River to the Rio Grande

Posted March 03, 2010 in Texas

The question wasn’t whether Texas Gov. Rick Perry would win the Republican primary on Tuesday against Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison and Tea Partier Debra Medina.  The question was would he break 50% and avoid a runoff.
Perry tallied 51% to Hutchison’s 30% and Medina’s 19%, and routed his opponents in every part of the state.
Texas is [...]

Blue States Most in Debt

Posted March 01, 2010 in California, Connecticut, Illinois, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Texas, Utah, Virginia

Forbes:
The five states in the worst financial condition–Illinois, New York, Connecticut, California and New Jersey–are all among the bluest of blue states. The five most fiscally fit states are more of a mix. Three–Utah, Nebraska and Texas–boast Republican majorities and two–New Hampshire and Virginia–skew Democratic.**
I point to three factors.  First, states like New York, Illinois [...]

Mapping the Most Pro-Palin States

Posted February 13, 2010 in Palin, Primaries

Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com looked at the Republican primary electorate in all 50 states and determined which ones are most friendly to Sarah Palin and most hostile to her.  He crunches the numbers on “six variables: fundraising totals to date for SarahPAC, and five demographic and attitudinal variables taken from 2008 exit polls.”
I won’t butcher [...]

Does Obama Really Have a 90% Approval Rating in the Northeast?

Posted February 12, 2010 in Polls

Research 2000’s weekly polls sponsored by Daily Kos are reportedly legit, but some of the cross-tabs out yesterday have me scratching my head.  According to the survey, Barack Obama has 56% national approval rating.  OK, that’s within the realm of possibility.
But the Kos poll also says he has a 89% approval and 8% disapproval in [...]

Murtha’s District Likely to Go Republican

Posted February 11, 2010 in House, Pennsylvania

Question: What was the only district to vote for John Kerry in 2004 and John McCain in 2008?
Answer: Pennsylvania’s 12th District, which was represented by the late John Murtha.
This district will be filled by a special election that will likely be March 18.  In a race between a generic Democratic and a generic Republican, the [...]

FLASHBACK: New Orleans Dispatch

Posted February 09, 2010 in Louisiana

In honor of WHO DAT NATION bringing the Super Bowl to the Crescent City (the parade starts at 4 pm local time today), I thought I’d post an article I wrote about the 2006 New Orleans mayoral election.
I was in town working on a Habitat for Humanity-type project with my church and did some side [...]

The Week in Political Geography: Land of Lincoln

Posted February 07, 2010 in Census, Democrats, Illinois, Michigan, North Carolina, Polls, Redistricting, Republicans

Politico’s new election maps page with Governor, Senate and House maps form 2000-2010. Illinois primary results.
Gallup: Only 5 Republican states [Daily Kos]
N.C.’s shifting electoral map [Salisbury Post (N.C.)]
Michigan’s Blueprint for America [National Review Online]
The 2010 Census: New Demographics, New Approach [Ad Age]
Republican 2012 Convention Short List: Tampa, Phoenix, Salt Lake City and Houston [The Electoral [...]

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